Pauline H. Baker is associate director of the Congressional Program at the Aspen Institute in Washington, D.C., and has conducted extensive research on South Africa.
After falling short in 1992 and 1997, Kenya’s large but fractious opposition coalition swept to victory at the polls in 2002. Transition has arrived, but can democratic transformation follow?
The country's long-ruling party has never faced a serious electoral challenge—due not only to opposition weakness but also to a deliberate strategy of suppression.