Steven A. Cook is Douglas Dillon Fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations and the author of Ruling, but Not Governing: The Military and Political Development in Egypt, Algeria, and Turkey (2007).
				
			
						
													
	
	
	
		
					
				October 2006, Volume 17, Issue 4			
		
		
						
		
					
				We should neither be too hasty to discount the prodemocratic political ferment in the Arab world, nor be fooled into thinking that Islamist groups will play a constructive part in democratic transitions.
			 
		
		
		
			 
									
	
	
	
		
					
				January 2006, Volume 17, Issue 1			
		
		
						
		
					
				Strategies based on transition pacts that reduce rulers' risks and cushion their retreat from total power may be the most promising route to democracy in the Arab world.