The Surprising Instability of Competitive Authoritarianism

Issue Date October 2018
Volume 29
Issue 4
Page Numbers 129-135
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After many countries that had embarked upon transitions in the 1980s and 1990s failed to become consolidated democracies, political scientists highlighted the widespread emergence of hybrid regimes, which combine authoritarian and democratic features. Scholars argued such regimes were stable, with some positing that quasi-democratic institutions actually strengthened authoritarianism. But an examination of competitive authoritarianism (CA)—the most prominent of these hybrid types—suggests instability is the norm. Of 35 regimes identified as having been CA between 1990 and 1995, most have either democratized or been replaced by new autocracies. Furthermore, quasi-democratic institutions often contributed to CA’s breakdown. In short, hybrid regimes have not become a new form of stable nondemocratic rule.

About the Author

Christopher Carothers is an associated scholar at the University of Pennsylvania’s Center for the Study of Contemporary China and the author of East Asia’s Troubled Democracies: How Illiberal Trends Are Reshaping Japan, South Korea, and Taiwan (2026).

View all work by Christopher Carothers