The 2016 U.S. Election: How Trump Lost and Won

Article
April 2017

Three factors help to explain the historically wide split between the electoral and popular vote counts: economic and political fundamentals, polarization among voters over identity issues, and the sharply divergent ways in which the candidates chose to address these issues.

Britain After Brexit: A Transformed Political Landscape

Article
January 2017

The British party system is being fundamentally reshaped by the consequences of the British decision to leave the EU, which also threatens to reduce Britain’s influence on the rest of the world.

Britain After Brexit: The Risk to Northern Ireland

Article
January 2017

The British decision to leave the EU raises difficult challenges for the still-delicate settlement upon which peace and stability in Northern Ireland depend.

The Signs of Deconsolidation

Article
January 2017

Political scientists have long assumed that “democratic consolidation” is a one-way street, but survey evidence of declining support for democracy from across the established democracies suggests that deconsolidation is a genuine danger.

The Struggle Over Term Limits in Africa: The Power of Protest

Article
July 2016

As more and more African presidents attempt to remove or circumvent constitutional term limits, African populations increasingly are mobilizing en masse, at great risk, to defend their constitutions.

The Danger of Deconsolidation: The Democratic Disconnect

Article
July 2016

Is democratic deconsolidation underway in the United States and Europe? In recent years, support for democracy, especially among millennials, has been dwindling in a number of established democracies.

Burma Votes for Change: Clashing Attitudes Toward Democracy

Article
April 2016

What does public opinion tell us about Burma’s longer-term prospects for democracy? The Asian Barometer Survey reveals contradictory attitudes regarding democracy and democratic values among the citizens of Burma.

After the Arab Spring: People Still Want Democracy

Article
October 2015

Data from the Arab Barometer suggest that Arabs have not rejected democracy. In fact, they still by and large believe in it and want it.

Millennials and East Asia’s Democratic Future

Article
April 2015

East Asia’s millennials have grown up in an age of rapid socioeconomic progress, allowing them to become better educated, more urbanized, and more technologically connected than previous generations. Will they use their collective power to become agents of democratic change?

Kenya’s 2013 Elections: Choosing Peace over Democracy

Article
July 2013
In March 2013, Kenyans took to the polls in what turned out to be another disputed election. Why did the peace hold this time, unlike in 2007, and what are the implications for democracy in Kenya?

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